IBM and UNDP launch new energy forecasting tools to drive equitable access

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IBM and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) have unveiled two new tools designed to address energy access and equity across the globe. These models, now available on UNDP’s GeoHub platform, aim to provide policymakers, governments, and the public with critical data to better understand and forecast energy needs, while prioritizing equitable solutions for clean energy access.

Developed through the IBM Sustainability Accelerator programme, these tools — the Electricity Access Forecasting model and the Clean Energy Equity Index — offer advanced insights into energy distribution and development challenges. By using artificial intelligence (AI) technology and geospatial data, the tools will assist countries in making informed decisions that support a just energy transition.

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“The collaboration between UNDP and IBM enables countries to leverage cutting-edge development data to improve lives and protect the planet,” said Laurel Patterson, Head of the UNDP SDG Integration Team. She emphasized that these tools will provide the evidence needed to drive meaningful progress towards sustainable development goals (SDGs).

Empowering Communities with Data

The Electricity Access Forecasting model uses AI to predict electricity access across 102 countries in the Global South by analyzing factors such as infrastructure, population growth, urbanization, and land use. This model provides future forecasts through 2030, giving policymakers a clearer picture of where electricity access is most urgently needed.

In Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America, where electricity access disparities are still significant, this tool could play a vital role in guiding investment and resource allocation. Unlike traditional energy estimates, which focus on present-day conditions, the AI model offers a forward-looking perspective, allowing countries to plan more effectively.

“The power of technology to make lasting, positive impacts on our environment is demonstrated by these new tools,” said Justina Nixon-Saintil, IBM’s Vice President and Chief Impact Officer. “By making these models freely accessible, we aim to empower leaders and community members alike to make informed energy decisions.”

Clean Energy and Equity

The Clean Energy Equity Index is the first of its kind, combining environmental, economic, and social data to create a comprehensive score reflecting each country’s clean energy opportunities. By considering factors like greenhouse gas emissions, education, and wealth, this model aims to highlight both the opportunities and urgency for clean energy development.

This index offers data from 53 African countries, helping local leaders identify the best strategies for ensuring equitable access to clean energy. It allows users to customize their analysis by adjusting which factors — environmental, economic, or social — have the most impact in their region.

Both models are accessible for free through the GeoHub platform, making critical energy data available to a wide range of users, from journalists to community leaders. These tools are expected to contribute significantly to global efforts aimed at achieving a fairer and more sustainable energy future.

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